UFC Vegas 104: Vettori vs. Dolidze Main Card Best Bets & Odds

The UFC returns to the Apex after a huge card at UFC 313. As is generally the case when an event is scheduled for the tiny Apex in Paradise, Nevada, there aren’t a lot of matchups to write home about.

The only ranked fighters on the entire card are the middleweights fighting it out in the main event: No. 8 Marvin Vettori and No. 12 Roman Dolidze. We’ve got you covered with our best bets for that fight, as well as the co-main event featuring an arguably more intriguing middleweight battle between Chidi Njokuani and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.

Note: None of our best bets feature odds shorter than -200.

UFC Vegas 104: Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze - Main Card Best Bets & Betting Odds

All odds provided by Betway.

No. 8 Marvin Vettori vs. No. 12 Roman Dolidze Middleweight Main Event Bout Betting Odds

This one is a rehash of a matchup we saw in 2023, and back then, it wasn’t that exciting. It should be even less so here in 2025, with both fighters two years older and lower in the middleweight rankings. It’s not often you see online betting sites offering minus odds on a five-round middleweight bout to go the distance. But I digress, this is what we get when we head to the Apex.

In that first matchup, Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) beat Roman Dolidze (14-3) via unanimous decision. Considering it’s been just two years since the last matchup, we expect a similar fight here. Dolidze has the power advantage, but in a fight like this where a stoppage seems highly unlikely (neither fighter has ever been finished), Vettori’s varied and high-volume striking should come good.

Dolidze has won two fights since he last saw Vettori, but they were not impressive wins. He beat Anthony Smith on short notice in what was essentially a sparring session, and a rib injury handed him the win against Kevin Holland. When the 36-year-old Dolidze goes into deep waters, he tires pretty obviously.

This is a five-rounder, and for that reason we really like Vettori here. The Italian Dream has gone the distance in seven straight fights, including five that went five rounds. Vettori’s moneyline odds are bettable at -150. But he so rarely gets finishes that we’re thinking it’s worth the value on the Italian to win via decision at +110.

Chidi Njokuani vs. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Welterweight Co-Main Event Bout Betting Odds

While the main event is not intriguing by any stretch, the co-main event should result in some fireworks. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (25-8-1) has earned 15 of his 25 wins by knockout and same goes for Chidi Njokuani (24-10, 1 NC) in 14 of his 24 triumphs. What’s also notable, though, is that Njokuani has been finished in eight of 10 losses, while the Brazilian has failed to reach the final bell in 3/8 losses.

We think dos Santos has the advantage in terms of power and creativity. He’s also fought 16 times in the UFC compared to Njokuani’s seven. Capoeira should get the win here, but we’re not sure how he’ll do it because of his versatile style. Instead, we’ll count on the history of both of these guys as we look for a finish from either side within these 15 minutes. UFC betting sites are offering more value on the fight to go the distance (-175) than for Capoeira to win (-188) anyway, so we’re getting the better value here.