UFC: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Main Card Betting Odds and Best Bets

21 Jul 24
UFC
News - UFC
UFC: Lemos vs. Jandiroba Main Card Betting Odds and Best Bets

The UFC is heading back to its home at the UFC Apex in Vegas for the first time in nearly a month for UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba. While the card doesn’t exactly scream star power, there’s still more than ample opportunity to take advantage of the UFC betting odds we’re getting from sports betting sites for the jumbo six-fight main card here.

Highlights

  • Betting odds say 4 of the 6 fights are more likely to be finished before the final bell
  • The size of the octagon favors Virna Jandiroba in the main event
  • Steve Garcia can outclass his opponent on the feet or on the mat
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UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba UFC Betting Odds

All odds provided by Betway.

No. 3 Amanda Lemos vs. No. 5 Virna Jandiroba UFC Women’s Strawweight Bout Betting Odds

Fighter

Moneyline

Win by KO/TKO/DQ

Win by Submission

Win by Decision

Rounds

To Go the Distance

Amanda Lemos

+100

+200

+1,400

+500

O2.5 (-175)

Yes (+150)

Virna Jandiroba

-125

+187

+1,600

+275

U2.5 (+130)

No (-200)

The main event of this card is the only one to feature two ranked fighters, with No. 3 women’s strawweight contender Amanda “Amandinha” Lemos (14-3-1) against No. 5 Virna “Carcara” Jandiroba (20-3). It would seem that the UFC Apex suits Jandiroba’s jiu-jitsu/wrestling style, as it’s a little bit of a smaller octagon.

Lemos likes to move around a little more, and she’s has struggled when taken down in the past, often giving up and accepting her position more quickly than she needs to. Lemos also won’t be able to use her patented low kicks as often, as she’ll be wary of takedown attempts from Carcara. Take the slight favorite here at -125 odds.

Steve Garcia vs. Choi Seung-woo UFC Featherweight Bout Betting Odds

Fighter

Moneyline

Win by KO/TKO/DQ

Win by Submission

Win by Decision

Rounds

To Go the Distance

Steve Garcia

-152

+120

+900

+500

O1.5 (+140)

Yes (+300)

Choi Seung-woo

+120

+187

+1,800

+600

U1.5 (-189)

No (-455)

In one corner, Steve Garcia (15-5) will look to stay hot, while in the other, Choi Seung-woo (11-6), will attempt to get his mojo back. Garcia has won three straight after losing two of his first three UFC fights. Seung-woo, meanwhile, lost three straight before bouncing back somewhat with a decision win against a guy in just his second UFC fight last time out.

Garcia throws with much more volume and much more power, plus, he’s better when it comes to grappling and wrestling as well. At 11-6, the South Korean doesn’t have a great record, and he could be on his way out of the UFC after this one. Garcia’s last seven wins have come by KO/TKO, so grab those odds at +120.

Kurt Holobaugh vs. Kaynan Kruschewsky UFC Lightweight Bout Betting Odds

Fighter

Moneyline

Win by KO/TKO/DQ

Win by Submission

Win by Decision

Rounds

To Go the Distance

Kurt Holobaugh

+110

+350

+700

+350

O2.5 (+100)

Yes (+130)

Kaynan Kruschewsky

-139

+350

+333

+300

U2.5 (-132)

No (-175)

This is a battle between a guy returning to the UFC, in Kurt Holobaugh (20-8, 1 NC), and one trying to make good on his first chance in the promotion, in Brazilian Kaynan Kruschewsky (15-2). Holobaugh has not fared well in either of his UFC stints, as he’s 0-4 in fights that weren’t part of the Ultimate Fighter or the Contender Series, so we like the favorite here.

Only nine of Holobaugh’s 29 professional fights have reached the final bell; four of his six UFC fights have been finished inside the distance. In 17 fights, Kruschewsky has only gone all the way twice, so our best bet is the fight to go the distance at decent -175 odds.

Cody Durden vs. Bruno Silva UFC Flyweight Bout Betting Odds

Fighter

Moneyline

Win by KO/TKO/DQ

Win by Submission

Win by Decision

Rounds

To Go the Distance

Cody Durden

-105

+800

+1,000

+175

O2.5 (-227)

Yes (-200)

Bruno Silva

-120

+700

+400

+200

U2.5 (+162)

No (+150)

The tightest matchup in terms of moneyline odds, No. 14 flyweight Cody Durden (16-5-1) takes on Bruno Silva (13-5-2, 1 NC). We think Durden might be getting a little too much credit here because of his position in the top 15, because Silva looks like one of the hottest fighters in the division right now. Silva lost his first three UFC fights, but he’s finished his last three inside the first two rounds, and nine of his 13 wins have come inside the distance, so we like the Brazilian fighter to win by finish at +200.

Choi Doo-Ho vs. Bill Algeo Featherweight Bout Betting Odds

Fighter

Moneyline

Win by KO/TKO/DQ

Win by Submission

Win by Decision

Rounds

To Go the Distance

Choi Doo-Ho

+140

+350

+2,000

+300

O2.5 (-189)

Yes (-164)

Bill Algeo

-175

+700

+500

+140

U2.5 (+140)

No (+120)

In what is becoming a bit of a theme for this card, we have two guys on the brink of losing their UFC credentials, as Choi Doo-Ho (14-4-1) hasn’t won a fight since 2016, and Bill Algeo (18-8) has lost two of his last four, including a TKO loss in March.

Algeo has fought thrice in the last year, though, while Choi has fought just once since before the pandemic. Algeo will likely be in a better rhythm here, and even before his hiatus, Choi had lost three straight, so we think he’ll struggle. Take Algeo’s moneyline at -175 odds.

Lee Jeong-yeong vs. Hyder Amil Featherweight Bout Betting Odds

Fighter

Moneyline

Win by KO/TKO/DQ

Win by Submission

Win by Decision

Rounds

To Go the Distance

Lee Jeong-yeong

-175

+275

+500

+200

O2.5 (+105)

Yes (+120)

Hyder Amil

+140

+400

+1,600

+400

U2.5 (-139)

No (-164)

Perhaps the second-most exciting fight after the main event, here, we see Jeong Yeong Lee (11-1) taking on the undefeated Hyder Amil (9-0). Both are UFC newcomers, with Lee 2-0 so far in the promotion and Amil coming off his UFC debut in February. We like Lee here.

He’s a bit longer (three-inch reach advantage), and we think he’s got the more technical striking. If this was a five-rounder, Amil might be able to outlast Lee, but without superior grappling, he won’t be able to tire the Korean fighter out. We like Lee to put the first L on Amil’s pro resume with a finish here at +140 odds.

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Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.

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