UFC 300 Main Card Betting Preview & Odds

The biggest event in UFC 300 history is about to go down at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Prepare for a stacked main card, as prior to the main and co-main events, the No. 2 featherweight takes on the No. 2 lightweight in a bout at lightweight, two more top five lightweights battle it out for the right to a title shot, and a couple of exciting middleweights enter to kick off the main card.

UFC 300 Main Card Betting Odds - April 13

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

No. 2 Justin Gaethje vs. No. 2 Max Holloway Lightweight Bout Odds

In arguably the most highly-anticipated fight of the night, former featherweight and current No. 2 contender in that division, Max Holloway (25-7), will make the second foray of his UFC career into the lightweight division, where No. 2 contender and brawler Justin Gaethje (25-4) awaits him. Both of these guys love to throw with volume and have great cardio, so expect a long and high-action scrap here.

The Hawaiian’s path to victory here would be to simply outbox Gaethje and bob and weave away from the bombs that the Highlight loves to throw. Gaethje has the power advantage here, but he’s not as crisp a boxer as Holloway. 

The only fighters to beat Holloway in the last 10 years are Dustin Poirier and Alexander Volkanovski, and with respect to Gaethje, he’s no Volkanovski. You could point to Holloway’s loss to Poirier and say, hey, Gaethje just head-kicked that guy into oblivion. However, that fight was tight before the head kick, and Poirier actually finished Gaethje back in 2018. Holloway has also never even been knocked down in 28 UFC bouts, so he knows how to handle power.

This will be a very tight one, but we’re leaning Holloway here just because his betting odds are offering a bit more value. He’s not going to finish Gaethje, however, so the +225 odds sports betting sites are offering to win via decision look great, as do the -110 odds for this fight to go the distance.

No. 1 Charles Oliveira vs. No. 4 Arman Tsarukyan Lightweight Bout Odds

In what is likely a lightweight title fight eliminator, former champ and UFC finish record-holder Charles Oliveira (34-9, 1 NC) takes on a guy in Arman Tsarukyan (21-3) that has absolutely been shooting up the lightweight rankings in recent years. Funnily enough, the most recent result for both of these guys was a TKO/KO finish of Beneil Dariush, with Do Bronx getting it done in the first round last June, and Tsarukyan taking just one minute to get the job done in December.

Many see this as a coronation event for Tsarukyan, and based on the odds he’s getting from most betting apps, the sportsbooks certainly agree. We’re not so sure.

Tsarukyan has looked extremely efficient and polished, but he has not faced top-end talent yet, and Oliveira’s unpredictable and tricky fighting style will be something that the Russian is not comfortable or familiar with. Oliviera has been fighting and beating nothing but the best for the past four years, so we like him to pull off yet another upset at +200 odds.

Bo Nickal vs. Cody Brundage Middleweight Bout Odds

In one of the few non-ranked bouts of the night, the anointed one, Bo Nickal (5-0), will fight another youngster in Cody Brundage (10-5). This is another easy-peasy type of matchup for one of the UFC’s golden children, and the moneyline odds prove that out. No one has made it out of the first round against Nickal yet, and his -192 odds to win in the first round show that everyone, including us, expects that to continue.

Nickal has a wrestling background, but he’s been adamant about becoming a well-rounded mixed-martial artist, and Brundage has been put down with one-punch power as well as sustained damage, so we like Nickal to win by KO/TKO, which is offering a lot more value at +150 odds.