Premier League Matchweek 9 Saturday Betting Picks & Odds

After a 2-5 stumble in Matchweek 7, we bounce back in a big way in Matchweek 8, flipping the script and going 5-2. We would’ve had a perfect week, too, if not for disappointing showings from Arsenal and Ipswich Town. Now, with more and more midweek games as the Premier League season presses on, we’ll start to see much smaller Saturday slates as more matches are shifted to Sunday. To that point, let’s take a look at the best bets for this curtailed five-match Saturday slate.

2024 EPL Saturday Slate Best Bet Record: 35-22 (+6.42 Units)

Premier League Matchweek 9 Betting Odds & Predictions

All odds provided by Betway.

Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Soccer Betting Odds - 10AM E.T.

While Bournemouth have just 10 goals, they have 15.98 xG (6th, two spots ahead of Villa), which represents the second-largest negative discrepancy in the league.

However, Villa has been excellent this season, and so betting against them is tough without sufficient soccer betting value, which Bournemouth doesn’t offer here. Both teams scored in the meetings between these sides last year, and BTTS has hit in six of Villa’s eight league matches this season.

Best Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes (-175)

Brentford vs. Ipswich Town Soccer Betting Odds - 10AM E.T.

We love the small teams, and the squad from the Southeast recently had an impressive run of four straight draws, but they’ve lost two straight since then. Brentford, meanwhile, has the joint-best home record through eight weeks of this campaign, with three wins and one draw in four matches.

The last time Ipswich visited a London club, West Ham thrashed them 4-1, and Brentford has been scoring a ton of goals, so at -150 odds, we love the Bees’ moneyline here. On the other hand, since August 31, Brentford has played seven matches, all of which have seen both sides score; five of Ipswich’s last seven league matches have also seen both teams find the back of the net.

Best Bet: Brentford Moneyline (-150)/Both Teams To Score - Yes (-150)

Brighton vs. Wolverhampton Soccer Betting Odds - 10AM E.T.

We might be in the minority here at this point, but we still believe that bottom of the table Wolves is a decent side. They have not been great, but they’ve also been insanely unlucky. They’ve allowed 23 goals, but their xGA is only 16.54, representing a -6.46 discrepancy that’s over 4 goals more than the next most unlucky side.

That being said, Brighton is undefeated at home and coming off a big road win over Newcastle last week. The Seagulls have also won four and drawn one in their last five fixtures with Wolves. While we believe that they’re better than they seem, Wolves are still not good enough to get a result on the South coast here.

Best Bet: Brighton Moneyline (-163)

Manchester City vs. Southampton Soccer Betting Odds - 10AM E.T.

The odds we’re getting from soccer betting sites across the industry should tell you all you need to know about what the public thinks of this one: a Mancunian massacre. While we expect a Manchester City win, their moneyline odds are almost as maniacal as their -3 spread.

Southampton may have just six goals on the campaign, but they’ve scored five of those in their last four matches, including at least one in each match. Believe it or not, City have not had a clean sheet in seven straight league matches, though they didn’t lose any, in classic City fashion.

Best Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes (+100)

Everton vs. Fulham Soccer Betting Odds - 12:30PM E.T.

These sides have met six times since 2021, and Everton didn’t win any of them. This edition is being billed as a toss up, which is great for us, because we believe Fulham is a much better side.

Everton have lost four straight to Fulham at Goodison Park, but the underlying metrics are what really made this an easy pick: Fulham has the fifth-highest xG and the third-lowest xGA in the EPL, while Everton has the third-lowest xG and the fifth-highest xGA. Now that’s quick maths.

Best Bet: Fulham Moneyline (+160)