We didn’t have as much success last week as we did in Matchweek 5, when we went 7-1, but we still kept our head above water with a 4-3 day that saw us drop just 0.03 units. Those three losses came courtesy of Rodri-less Manchester City, Forest’s first scoreless performance of the campaign, and a disappointing home effort for Brentford. With seven more matches on the horizon for Matchweek 7, let’s dive into our best bets.
2024 EPL Saturday Slate Best Bet Record: 28-15 (+8.55 Units)
All odds provided by Betway.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Crystal Palace | +500 | +1 (+150) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-175) |
| Liverpool | -200 | -1 (+130) | No (+110) | U2.5 (+137) |
| Draw | +350 | -1 (+300) |
Liverpool has been dominant away from Anfield so far this season, winning all three of their games with a 7-1 differential. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, has not won at Selhurst Park in three tries, managing just two home goals in the process, fewer than all but Southampton and Manchester United (lol) so far this season. Liverpool has also been historically dominant at Selhurst Park: they have not lost there since 2014, a span of 11 matches.
Best Bet: Liverpool -1 Spread (+130)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Arsenal | -700 | -2 (+105) | Yes (+110) | O2.5 (-275) |
| Southampton | +1,600 | +2 (+175) | No (-150) | U2.5 (+220) |
| Draw | +800 | +2 (+333) |
Sports betting sites really don’t want us to bet on Arsenal here. They’ve made their moneyline odds prohibitive, but anyways, Southampton has earned a draw in three of their four last PL trips to the Emirates. Both teams have scored in eight of their last 12 PL meetings. Arsenal have allowed a goal in three of four overall, and Southampton has scored 1+ goals in five straight matches where they weren’t shown a red.
Best Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes (+110)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Brentford | +100 | -1 (+260) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-125) |
| Wolverhampton | +260 | +1 (-125) | No (+110) | U2.5 (+100) |
| Draw | +260 | +1 (+300) |
Wolves are a difficult squad to pin down, but their recent history against Brentford speaks for itself: they have not lost away to Brentford in six tries, winning three and drawing the other three during that span. Wolves may have just one point, but they’ve played their opponents tough every single time, even in that Chelsea debacle if you look closely at the data.
Best Bet: Wolverhampton Double Chance (-125)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Leicester City | +210 | +1 (-150) | Yes (-175) | O2.5 (-150) |
| Bournemouth | +115 | -1 (+300) | No (+125) | U2.5 (+120) |
| Draw | +275 | -1 (+300) |
Leicester City are coming off of an absolute whooping by Arsenal (check the xG stats, they are nuts), and have not been impressive to begin their return tour of the PL. They have the highest xG against and the second-lowest xG for, while Bournemouth has the seventh-highest xG for in the league. These teams have also played 13 times since 2015, with Leicester winning just three of them.
Best Bet: Bournemouth Moneyline (+115)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Manchester City | -400 | -2 (+162) | Yes (-106) | O2.5 (-225) |
| Fulham | +850 | +2 (+110) | No (-125) | U2.5 (+175) |
| Draw | +600 | +2 (+300) |
Manchester City was one of our misses last week, but that won’t happen again this time around. They’re back at home, and, while still Rodri-less, are likely to bounce back here. Not many teams have been dominated by another as Fulham has by City: they have not beaten City 2009, a span of 22 matches. City has won 16 straight outright in this fixture, doing so via 2+ goals in 13 of those.
Best Bet: Manchester City -1 Spread (-150)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| West Ham | -125 | -1 (+200) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-150) |
| Ipswich | +320 | +1 (-106) | No (+110) | U2.5 (+120) |
| Draw | +280 | +1 (+300) |
Has there been a squad more disappointing than West Ham so far this season? Despite a seemingly strong transfer window, they have not looked good since Matchweek 2, and Ipswich, on the other hand, keep proving that they are just as much of a handful on the road as they are at Portman Road. The Hammers are bottom six in xG against and bottom five in xG for. We like Ipswich to get a result here.
Best Bet: Ipswich Town Double Chance (-106)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Everton | +220 | +1 (-150) | Yes (-188) | O2.5 (-163) |
| Newcastle | +115 | -1 (+300) | No (+137) | U2.5 (+130) |
| Draw | +260 | -1 (+333) |
Newcastle heads to the Northwest, where Everton and Goodison Park await. Since 2012, Everton has won seven, drawn three, and lost two when hosting this striped foe. Newcastle also has the largest difference between goals allowed (7) and xG allowed (12.07) this year, meaning their defense is much worse than it seems.
Best Bet: Everton Double Chance (-150)
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
