We hit a little bump in the road last week, as we saw by far our worst showing of the season, with a 2-5 effort. We’re still looking good on the season overall, however, so we have no doubt we’ll bounce right back up. It’s time to get back in the saddle for our best bets on Matchweek 11 in the Premier League’s Saturday slate!
2024 EPL Saturday Slate Best Bet Record: 40-29 (+4.38 Units)
All odds provided by Betway.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Brentford | +150 | -1 (+375) | Yes (-200) | O2.5 (-175) |
| Bournemouth | +170 | +1 (-200) | No (+150) | U2.5 (+137) |
| Draw | +250 | +1 (+350) |
Both of these teams have been very up and down this season, with Brentford yet to string two straight wins together. Bournemouth, meanwhile, has taken seven points from nine against three of the top teams in football after having been blanked by promoted side Leicester. It’s simply too tough to call. What they have both been doing, though, is scoring. Eight of Brentford’s 10 league matches have had 3+ goals. Bournemouth has scored a goal in four of their last five.
Best Bet: Match Total Goals Over 2.5 (-175)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Crystal Palace | +175 | +1 (-200) | Yes (-134) | O2.5 (-110) |
| Fulham | +150 | -1 (+400) | No (+100) | U2.5 (-110) |
| Draw | +250 | -1 (+333) |
Crystal Palace seem to be finding their footing, with four points in their last two matches. Fulham has been impressive all season. On this one, we agree with the soccer betting sites: this one’s a toss-up. However, what did catch our eye is that this fixture has resulted in a draw in four of the last five meetings. Our draw bet saved us from annihilation last week, let’s have another!
Best Bet: Match Result Draw (+240)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| West Ham | +115 | -1 (+300) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-125) |
| Everton | +240 | +1 (-150) | No (+110) | U2.5 (+100) |
| Draw | +240 | +1 (+300) |
West Ham has seen three red cards this year. After the one they took against Liverpool in the EFL cup, they came back to earn a draw at Brentford, the only team not to lose at Gtech Community Stadium this season. After their red card against Tottenham in league play a few weeks ago, they responded with a win against Manchester United. Now, after suffering another red last week in a humbling loss to Forest, we expect the Hammers to live up to their name at home against Everton. And the odds we’re getting on the favorites from sports betting sites are none too shabby either.
Best Bet: West Ham Moneyline (+115)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Wolverhampton | -110 | -1 (+225) | Yes (-175) | O2.5 (-150) |
| Southampton | +275 | +1 (-120) | No (+125) | U2.5 (+120) |
| Draw | +275 | +1 (+300) |
A match between the bottom two teams in the Premier League doesn’t sound fun, but it likely will be, as many Wolves games have lately. The squad from the midlands has seen eight straight games with 3+ goals. On the other side, Southampton have been surprisingly potent offensively. Since August 28, they have scored in nine of their 11 matches, with the only two blanks coming at the hands of Man City and due to a red card against Man United.
Best Bet: Match Total Goals Over 2.5 (-150)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Brighton | +310 | +1 (+105) | Yes (-188) | O2.5 (-188) |
| Manchester City | -138 | -1 (+175) | No (+137) | U2.5 (+150) |
| Draw | +320 | -1 (+300) |
Brighton haven’t lost a match at Falmer yet this season, winning two and drawing three. They’re coming off two tough losses to Liverpool and will be looking to get something from this game—and we think they can. City seem ripe right now. They were just embarrassed 4-1 in the UCL, they lost to Bournemouth in the league the match before that, and they lost to Spurs in the EFL Cup the match before that. Could they finally be showing their mortality?
Best Bet: Brighton Double Chance (+105)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Liverpool | -223 | -1 (+110) | Yes (-163) | O2.5 (-225) |
| Aston Villa | +525 | +1 (+162) | No (+120) | U2.5 (+175) |
| Draw | +400 | -1 (+300) |
Since Aston Villa’s royal 7-2 butt-kicking of Liverpool in 2020, the Reds have not lost a match in this fixture in eight tries. However, five of those have been either draws or one-goal wins. These matches have been tight. Liverpool’s last five straight wins overall in the PL have come by a single goal, and Villa has only lost by more than one goal in their last 14 matches.
Best Bet: Aston Villa Alternate +2 Spread (-150)
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
