We had a smaller slate in Matchweek 9, but we still found success. We hit three of our bets outright, and, depending on your sportsbook, we also won our Brighton bet, as they went up by two goals (which generally results in an early payout) before capitulating and allowing the draw. Either way, we come into Matchweek 10 in a good place, and we expect another strong showing with a big seven-match slate on Saturday.
2024 EPL Saturday Slate Best Bet Record: 38-24 (+6.27 Units)
All odds provided by Betway.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Newcastle United | +275 | +1 (-125) | Yes (-134) | O2.5 (-125) |
| Arsenal | -106 | -1 (+240) | No (+100) | U2.5 (+100) |
| Draw | +275 | -1 (+275) |
Newcastle has reinserted themselves as a top team in the Premier League over the last two seasons, but we’re not sure they’re quite as good as their top four finish in 2023 might suggest. They’ve lost two of their last three to Arsenal at St. James’ Park, and their underlying metrics are not encouraging either. Arsenal’s squad is also getting healthier.
Best Bet: Arsenal Moneyline (-106)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Bournemouth | +475 | +1 (+137) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-175) |
| Manchester City | -182 | -1 (+140) | No (+110) | U2.5 (+137) |
| Draw | +320 | -1 (+300) |
Listen, Manchester City hasn’t been exactly dominant this season, but they have found a way to get the points they need every week. This should be no exception, and whenever you can get City’s straight up moneyline odds at anything under -200 from soccer betting sites, you don’t hesitate. Bournemouth has never defeated City in 19 all-time matchups.
Best Bet: Manchester City Moneyline (-182)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Ipswich Town | +125 | -1 (+300) | Yes (-175) | O2.5 (-138) |
| Leicester City | +210 | +1 (-163) | No (+125) | U2.5 (+110) |
| Draw | +250 | +1 (+333) |
Draws are not generally a smart bet, but hear us out: Ipswich has drawn four of their nine EPL matches this year, and Leicester has done the same in three of their nine. They also drew both of their fixtures in the Championship last season. Let’s take a shot here!
Best Bet: Match Result Draw (+250)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Liverpool | -250 | -1 (+100) | Yes (-163) | O2.5 (-250) |
| Brighton | +650 | +3 (+175) | No (+120) | U2.5 (+200) |
| Draw | +375 | +3 (+300) |
Brighton has actually done pretty well at Anfield in recent seasons, earning two draws and a win over the last five campaigns. However, this Liverpool squad seems to be on a bit of a roll here, so we don’t want to bet against them straight up. Brighton has gotten points in three of their last five trips to Anfield, but they’ve at least scored a goal in all five of those visits to the Northwest football cathedral.
Best Bet: Both Teams To Score (-163)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Nottingham Forest | +115 | -1 (+300) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-125) |
| West Ham | +240 | +1 (-150) | No (+110) | U2.5 (+100) |
| Draw | +250 | +1 (+300) |
West Ham has scored a few goals less than their xG would suggest, and they’ve allowed a couple fewer than they should’ve, too. In fact, their xGA number (18.14) is fourth-highest in the EPL. Both teams have scored in seven of the Hammers’ nine league games during this campaign, including their last four straight. Forest have scored in four of five home fixtures in all competitions.
Best Bet: Both Teams To Score (-150)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Southampton | +160 | +1 (-225) | Yes (-163) | O2.5 (-125) |
| Everton | +162 | -1 (+400) | No (+120) | U2.5 (+100) |
| Draw | +240 | -1 (+350) |
Three of the last four matchups between these sides have seen both teams score, and these squads are also two of the worst defensive units in the league. Five of Everton’s last seven matches have seen both sides find the back of the net, and eight of Southampton’s last 10 outings have had the same.
Best Bet: Both Teams To Score (-163)
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Both Teams to Score | Total Goals |
| Wolverhampton | +155 | -1 (+400) | Yes (-150) | O2.5 (-110) |
| Crystal Palace | +175 | +1 (-200) | No (+110) | U2.5 (-110) |
| Draw | +240 | +1 (+333) |
Arguably the two most disappointing teams in the EPL this season clash in this late afternoon fixture. We don’t like to place too much importance on historical matchups, but when you see one as lopsided as this, it’s hard to ignore the plus odds we’re getting from sports betting sites on both teams. Palace has won five of the last six matchups, including 2 of 3 at Molineux.
Best Bet: Crystal Palace Moneyline (+175)
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
