Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks NBA Play-In Best Bets & Odds

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
14 Apr 25
NBA Picks
Photo by Wikimedia Commons, CC by 1.0

Photo by Wikimedia Commons, CC by 1.0

The 2024-2025 NBA regular season is all wrapped up and that means it’s time for the Play-In Tournament. It’s been a welcome new addition to the NBA calendar since it was instituted in the bubble back in 2020. For those who don’t know, the No. 7 seed plays the No. 8 in each conference for the rights to the real No. 7 seed. The loser of that game then plays the winner of a matchup between the No. 9 and No. 10 seeds for the rights to the real No. 8 seed.

In the East, the matchup for the No. 7 seed and a first round matchup with the Boston Celtics features the Orlando Magic hosting the Atlanta Hawks. Orlando comes in having won seven of their last 10 to finish 41-41, while the Hawks come in on a three-game winning streak that landed them at 40-42 on the year. Let’s dive into our betting preview for the clash, including the top NBA betting odds!

2025 NBA Regular Season Best Bets Record: 29-23 (+0.50)

Note: None of our best bets feature odds shorter than -200.

Highlights

  • The Hawks are 18-12 ATS as road underdogs this season
  • 34 of Atlanta’s last 35 games have gone over this game’s 217.5 point total
  • Trae Young has averaged 27.3 points in four previous Play-In games

Orlando Hawks vs. Atlanta Hawks Play-In Game - Best Bets & Betting Odds

All odds provided by Betway.

TeamMoneylinePoint SpreadOver/Under
Orlando Magic-200-5.0 (-110)O217.5 (-110)
Atlanta Hawks+165+5.0 (-110)U217.5 (-110)

Magic vs. Hawks Point Spread/Moneyline Prediction

The Orlando Magic have been one of the most surprising success stories of this season—but we think they’re going to have to work a little bit harder to get into the real playoff tournament. There is perhaps no team more familiar with the one-and-done Play-In format than the Atlanta Hawks, who will be in the mini-tournament for the fourth straight year.

Trae Young has led the Hawks to the postseason through the Play-In in two of the past three years, and we believe that experience is going to win out here. A big reason we believe the Hawks will be able to keep this one close is the absence of Jalen Suggs, which would have made Young’s life a lot more difficult. Atlanta also matches up pretty well with Orlando’s top guys in Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner.

This will be a battle between an offensive firecracker in Atlanta and a tough defensive team in the Magic. We’ve always been of the belief that defense in the NBA is about effort more than anything. These guys are all athletic enough to get it done, it’s just about whether they’ve bought in that night. We think it’s more likely that the Hawks buy-in defensively than for the Magic to magically find their shooting touch. Not to mention the Hawks covered 60 percent of their games as a road dog this year.

Best Bet: Atlanta Hawks +5.0 Point Spread (-110)

Magic vs. Hawks Over/Under Prediction

Generally, we have found success betting on unders during high-pressure games like a Play-In scenario, but these Hawks have just been on too much of a roll offensively recently. Since the start of February, Atlanta has played just one game that went under this 217.5 point total we’re getting on betting apps for this matchup. That’s a sample size of 35 games too. That span also included all four matchups with the Magic, each of which went over 217 points.

Best Bet: Game Total Points Over 217.5 (-110)

Player Prop Best Bet

Trae Young has played in four Play-In games in his career, which has to be up there among the most for any player. If only Play-In stats were more readily available. However, we do know that Young has scored 24, 38, 25, and 22 in those games, the last of which was the only one he lost. He shot 4-for-12 from the field that day and still had 22. That’s a nice, comfy floor.

When it’s a game like this, the cream rises to the top. And Young is definitely going to be the cream of the crop on the floor on Tuesday. Young also scored 28 and 38 points in his last two meetings with the Magic, and with no Jalen Suggs to chase him around this time, he could really go supernova.

Best Bet: Trae Young 25+ Points (-155)/Betway

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Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.