NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets & Betting Odds

Alex Murray
By: Alex Murray
10 Jan 25
NFL
NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets & Betting Odds

We finished off our regular season campaign strong, going 5-3 during Week 18, which is always tough considering the unpredictability of the final week of the NFL year. But we came away unscathed and are now up to about a 67 percent success rate on our Sunday slate best bets. The 1PM Sunday slate may be over with, but we’re still firing off our best bets as long as the postseason runs, so let’s dive into the best value picks for Wild Card weekend on betting sites everywhere.

2024 NFL Sunday Slate Best Bets: 60-30-1 (+17.68)

Note: None of our best bets feature odds shorter than -200.

Highlights

  • Houston has gone 1-6 straight up this year against teams that had top 10 scoring defenses
  • Buffalo should dominate at home against a rookie quarterback
  • Rookie QBs are 3-14 when their first playoff game is on the road
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NFL Wild Card Weekend Best Bets & Odds - January 11-13

All odds provided by Betway.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans - Saturday at 4:30PM on CBS

Team

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total

Los Angeles Chargers

-160

-3.0 (+100)

O42.5 (-110)

Houston Texans

+135

+3.0 (-120)

U42.5 (-110)

The first game of NFL Wild Card Weekend is almost always the least exciting, and unfortunately, that’s holding true this year as well. The Texans have had a rough season, losing two of their top three WRs for the remainder of the year and watching as C.J. Stroud regresses. The Chargers had the No. 1 scoring defense in football this season, and Houston has gone 1-6 against the other nine teams in the top 10 of that category. We’re so confident here, we’ll take the Chargers spread considering the juice we’re getting at NFL sportsbooks.

Best Bet: Los Angeles Chargers -3.0 Point Spread (+100)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens - Saturday at 8PM on Amazon

Team

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total

Pittsburgh Steelers

+390

+10.0 (-115)

O43.5 (-110)

Baltimore Ravens

-525

-10.0 (-105)

U43.5 (-110)

This rivalry has seen a ton of tight games—but there have been some blowouts too, especially on Baltimore’s side. We think the Steelers will keep it interesting for a time, but there’s not telling when the bottom might fall out. Russell Wilson will get them to double digits and Pittsburgh’s overrated defense will allow enough points for us to scratch at the over here.

Best Bet: Alternative Game Total Over 40.5 Points (-175)

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills - Sunday at 1PM on CBS

Team

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total

Denver Broncos

+350

+8.5 (-115)

O47.5 (-110)

Buffalo Bills

-450

-8.5 (-105)

U47.5 (-110)

With the Steelers laying double-digit points, we would’ve thought that the Broncos might offer even more. But since they’re not, we’re going to go the other way. Denver’s defense has been elite this year, but Josh Allen and the full strength of that Buffalo attack in playoff mode at home will be too much. Four of Buffalo’s last six wins have come by more than one score. We’ll buy a few points down, just to be safe.

Best Bet: Buffalo Bills Alternate -6.5 Point Spread (-160)

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles - Sunday at 4:30PM

Team

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total

Green Bay Packers

+195

+5.0 (-110)

O45.5 (-110)

Philadelphia Eagles

-240

-5.0 (-110)

U45.5 (-110)

The Eagles are entering the postseason with a good record over their last few games, but not exactly with a ton of momentum. If Jordan Love was coming in healthy as a button, we’d be all over the Packers spread. But with their QB only “hopeful” to play with a sore throwing elbow, Green Bay might get rolled here. We’ll buy a few points down though, just to be sure.

Best Bet: Philadelphia Eagles Alternative -3.0 Point Spread (-172)

Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Sunday at 8PM on NBC

Team

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total

Washington Commanders

+140

+3.0 (-110)

O50.0 (-110)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

-165

-3.0 (-110)

U50.0 (-110)

Jayden Daniels has been a revelation as a rookie and is a shoo-in to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, but that doesn’t stand up to the trends regarding rookie QBs in the playoffs. Freshman quarterbacks playing their first postseason game on the road have gone 3-14 all-time (Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco, Mark Sanchez), so we’re sticking with the script and taking the Bucs straight up.

Best Bet: Tampa Bay Buccaneers Moneyline (-165)

Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams - Monday at 8PM on ESPN

Team

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total

Minnesota Vikings

-140

-2.5 (-110)

O48.0 (-110)

Los Angeles Rams

+120

+2.5 (-110)

U48.0 (-110)

The Vikings won four more games than the Rams this year, and yet, by a quirk of the standings, they have to play on the road. That doesn’t matter though, as the Vikings have gone 11-5-1 ATS in away games this year, 4th-best in football. There’s no way this spread should be this low, but the value lies in Minnesota’s near “pick ‘em” moneyline odds here.

Best Bet: Minnesota Vikings Moneyline (-140)

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Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.

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