NFL Week 4 MNF Doubleheader Betting Picks & Player Props

For the second straight week, the NFL has blessed fans with a Monday night doubleheader, though for some reason they insist on scheduling them at the same time rather than putting an East coaster at 7pm and a West coaster at 10pm. But I digress. It looks like we’re in for a real stinker and a real barnburner, and we can find betting value in both! Check out our MNF picks and best bets below!

Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Picks & Player Props - Monday @ 7:30PM E.T.

All odds provided by Betway.

We have a turnover machine that might be the worst starter in the league in Will Levis going up against a guy who’s still learning his new team’s playbook in Tyler Huntley. Levis has eight turnovers in three games, tied for the league lead, while Huntley has been with the Dolphins for all of 14 days.

However, Huntley’s experience and talent mean that the Dolphins’ offense might actually move the ball in this one—though not a ton, since Tennessee’s defense is surprisingly stingy: they’re fifth in the league in yards allowed through three weeks. 

Nonetheless, they have been susceptible to the run, allowing 4.5 yards per carry, which is good news for home run hitter De’Von Achane. This will ultimately be a very low-scoring affair, but Miami’s sheer offensive talent and strong record at home gives them the edge. The NFL betting odds on the moneyline are more than good enough, though the under here is also worth a look, even if you buy it up to 38 or 39.

Game Best Bet: Miami Dolphins Moneyline (-140)

Dolphins vs. Titans Player Prop Picks

Tennessee shut down the Bears ground game in Week 1, but that’s not proving such an impressive feat.

In Week 2, both Breece Hall and Braelon found room on the ground, and in Week 3 against a Malik Willis-led Packers offense (which is likely to be similar to what we see Mike McDaniel deploy to help ease Huntley in) they gave up nearly 200 yards on the ground; Emmanuel Wilson had 12 for 50 while Willis had six carries for another 73.

The strength of the Titans front is its heart, where they have massive and talented defensive linemen. Lucky for De’Von Achane and Huntley, that’s not really where they operate. Last week Achane struggled along with the rest of the offense, but Huntley should open it up for him in RPO situations, and Achane did have 96 yards the week before even when the team was getting blown out by Buffalo.

Best Bets

• De’Von Achane Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
• Tyler Huntley Over Rush Yards (Prop still OTB as of this writin)

Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Picks & Player Props - Monday @ 8:15PM E.T.

All odds provided by Betway.

While both the Lions and Seahawks have had success so far this season, neither has really lit up the scoreboard like they maybe should have. The Seahawks haven’t had their full complement of weapons with starting running back Kenneth Walker out, but he’ll be back on Monday night. Meanwhile, Detroit’s offense is 4th in yardage but just 16th in scoring, indicating they could be in for an explosion soon.

The Lions defense similar to the offense: they give up a lot of yards but not a lot of points. Seattle’s 2nd-ranked unit, while solid, may not be quite as stingy as it seems: the three QBs they’ve beaten are Bo Nix, Jacoby Brissett, and Skylar Thompson. Surely, Jared Goff and company will cause Mike Macdonald’s guys more issues than that trio. While we would prefer a number around 44-45, we believe there is still value on the odds sports betting sites are offering on this game’s over.

Game Best Bet: Game Total Points Over 47.0 (-110)

Lions vs. Seahawks Player Prop Picks

The Lions have been good at keeping their opponents out of the end zone, but they have allowed a few top receivers to get the better of them so far this year. Cooper Kupp had 14 catches for 110 yards in Week 1, Chris Godwin went for 117 yards in Week 2, and Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson both went for 64 yards against Detroit’s secondary last week.

D.K. Metcalf comes in with back-to-back 100-yard outings under his belt, and with his number sitting at just 61.5, his receiving yards prop is hard to ignore in this spot.

Another player prop worth considering is the over on Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs’ 3.5 receptions prop. Strangely enough, he wasn’t even targeted last week, but he caught all seven of his targets the week before and caught four of six targets in Week 1. He also had 4+ targets in all three playoff games last year, snagging four balls in two of them. With his odds standing at an eye-popping +140, we’re jumping on this one.

Best Bets

• D.K. Metcalf Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
• Jahmyr Gibbs Over 3.5 Receptions (+140)