Who would have thought that Jarrett Stidham would be the only one to hit our prop last week. CMC got injured early, Bryce Young and the Panthers offense was embarrassing in all aspects, and Gerald Everett finished 10 yards shy. No matter, we ride again in Week 18. Today, we won’t be looking at moneyline or spread odds, but we’ll be weighing all the best player props from the top NFL betting sites and betting apps.
NFL Week 18 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds
NFL Week 18 Best Player Props Picks NFL Betting Odds
Highlights
- Justin Jefferson will want to hit that 1,000-yard milestone—and he’ll do it
- Kyler Murray will run all over the Seahawks like every other QB this year
- CeeDee Lamb will stay hot and try to make a claim at the OPOY with another big game
NFL Week 18 Sunday Slate Player Props Betting Odds - Sunday, December 31st
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Justin Jefferson (MIN) - Over 92.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Detroit Lions
The Vikings and Lions are playing at 1PM, which is good for all bettors because that means that no other games affecting them will have finished, ergo the Vikings can still get in the dance, and the Lions can still get the No. 2 seed.
So, now that’s out of the way, let’s talk about why Justin Jefferson is going to do things to the Detroit secondary that are illegal in 49 states. Let’s consider the matchup first. Since returning, Jefferson has averaged 96.3 yards a game, though he has only topped 90 yards once in those three games.
Thankfully, he can get a nice bounce back game against one of the worst pass defenses in football. Not only has Detroit given up the fourth-most receiving yards to wideouts for the entire year, they’ve been especially bad recently, giving up the second-most passing yards over the past four games.
We all remember what CeeDee Lamb did to this unit last week, so what do we expect the reigning OPOY to do? Nick Mullens may throw a lot of picks, but he can move the ball up and down the field, and that’s all we need. This is all before mentioning that Jefferson needs just 118 yards to bring his streak of 1,000-yard seasons to start his career to four. Whether they’re doing it to win or to get him over that milestone, Jefferson will be eating good on Sunday.
Will the Miami Dolphins (+2.5) cover the spread against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday?
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Aaron Jones (GB) - Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Chicago Bears
This one may seem strange at first glance, but hear me out. Aaron Jones has had a bit of a dud of a season, but he’s been turning it up over the last two weeks, putting up back-to-back 100-yard rushing games. However, the Bears defense has been exceptional over the last month, and is top 10 in total rushing defense over that span.
Where they continue to struggle is with defending running backs catching passes out of the backfield. Consider that Tyler Allgeier took a pass 75 yards last week against this defense and James Conner led his team in receiving the week before with five catches for 67 yards (a bet we hit). Neither of those guys is exactly known for their receiving prowess. Jones, who has always been a potent weapon in the passing game, has already gashed this same defense through the air as well, taking two grabs for 86 yards back in September.
Jones hasn’t exactly been a focal point in the passing game recently, failing to top 16 yards receiving in his last four outings, but streaks are meant to be broken. The reason running backs have seen so much success in the passing game against Chicago is because of their lack of a good coverage backer as well as the fact that their rejuvenated pass rush forces QBs to check down often.
Kyler Murray (ARI) - Over 30.5 Rush Yards (-110) vs. Seattle Seahawks
Last week’s win over the Eagles by the Cardinals was one of the most impressive team performances of the season, and the catalyst was the running game. The Seahawks have given up more rushing yards over the past four weeks than any team in the league, which is music to Kyler Murray and the Arizona rushing attack’s ears.
Murray didn’t go crazy in that game, rushing for just 24 yards, but he has topped 30 in four of his seven starts this year. This Seahawks defense has also given up 403 rush yards to QBs this year, including 37 to Ryan Tannehill (!) and 82 to Jalen Hurts in the last month. Heck, even Mason Rudolph had five yards against them, and you can’t beg that guy to run.
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) - Over 89.5 Receiving Yards (-110) vs. Washington Commanders
Last but not least, we have the aforementioned CeeDee Lamb, who is coming off of a career day last week against the Lions. He put up a whopping 227 yards in that one, and he will be looking to put a bow on his burgeoning case for Offensive Player of the Year with another big effort against the Commanders.
And who better to do it against? Washington has been porous against the pass all season, giving up the most receiving yards to wideouts by a significant margin. They have no lockdown corner, so all they can try to do is scheme up a way to stop Lamb, which is tough, because he has become more and more adept at reading zones and sitting in the open pockets he finds.
Lamb has also gone over 100 yards in back-to-back games and seven of his last 11 outings. The Cowboys need to win to keep the NFC East crown away from Philly, who will also be playing at 4:25PM, so we don’t have to worry too much about Lamb sitting for any major portion of this one. He should have a field day as the Cowboys seal the division title.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
