NFL Super Bowl 59 MVP Updated Odds, Best Bets, & Value Picks

Super Bowl 59 is only 10 days away people! That means it’s time to get your betting cap on and start looking at some fun bets to make for Super Sunday! One of the most popular will be a wager on the Super Bowl 59 MVP betting market, where you predict who will be going to Disney World after the game. (Do they still do that?) Check out our breakdown of the top favorites on odds boards across betting sites in Canada as well as some fun long shot dart throws to keep things interesting!

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

2025 Super Bowl MVP Betting Odds

The Favorite: Patrick Mahomes (+110)

It’s tough to imagine Patrick Mahomes not winning it if the Chiefs triumph in Super Bowl 59. And they are favored to lift the Lombardi. So we were expecting something on the minus side here. NFL sportsbooks don’t often make mistakes, but when they do, you’ve got to pounce. We’re expecting this line to drop significantly over the next week or so, so make sure you bet this right now.

These Chiefs have been to three Super Bowls, and Mahomes has won Super Bowl MVP every time. However, when you look at his stats from those contests, you start to wonder how bad he would have to play to not win Super Bowl MVP after a Chiefs win.

In Super Bowl 54, he had just a 78.1 passer rating, his 2nd-lowest such mark in his playoff career. That MVP performance included 286 yards, a rushing touchdown, and two passing touchdowns, but also featured two interceptions and a subpar 61.9 completion percentage.

In Super Bowl 57, against these same Eagles, he was cleaner, throwing for three TDs and no picks for a 131.8 passer rating, but he still had just 182 yards passing. Last year, he had nearly 250 yards and a couple of TD throws, but he also threw an interception. He has been far from perfect in his Super Bowl career, and yet he was a shoo-in to MVP in every time.

Basically, if you think the Chiefs are going to win, you might as well double-down on Mahomes’ MVP odds right now. They offer a lot more value than a straight up moneyline bet on K.C.

The Darkhorses: Saquon Barkley (+260) & Jalen Hurts (+350)

If you think the Eagles have a real shot at winning this, there are a lot more options to consider. The two best ones would be the guys in Philly’s starting backfield: running back Saquon Barkley and quarterback Jalen Hurts. Both have their merits, but we actually think Hurts is the better bet here considering the odds we’re getting from betting sites in Canada.

Barkley has been the engine of this Eagles offense all year. The Chiefs will know that, and you can bet defensive coordinator extraordinaire Steve Spagnuolo will have something cooked up for that running game. It’s doubtful the Chiefs will stop Barkley completely, but we expect them to focus on slowing him down more than anything.

That added investment in stopping the run should open up some passing lanes, especially on play action, when Hurts does his best work. He said Nick Sirianni “took the straitjacket” off him after putting up 246 yards and a TD through the air on a 71.4 completion percentage in the NFC Championship. We wonder if he’ll do the same on February 9.

It feels like Philly will need a big game from Hurts if they’re going to win, and if they start Tush Pushing at the goal line and his final stat line has two or three rushing TDs, it’s going to be hard to argue with him as the MVP.

It’s also worth noting that QBs have won 57 percent of the Super Bowl MVPs all-time. That number spikes up to 72 percent over the last 18 seasons. In contrast, a running back has not won the award since 1998. Hurts feels like the more likely option, and he’s offering better odds (+350) than his backfield mate, Barkley (+260).

Fun Long Shots

• Travis Kelce, Chiefs TE (+1,600): A performance like the one he had in the Divisional Round could see Travis Kelce bringing home an MVP to Taylor Swift.
• A.J. Brown, Eagles WR (+3,000): Hurts can sometimes lock onto one guy for a night, and if that guy is Brown and Hurts commits a turnover or two, the WR could be in with a shout.
• Dallas Goedert, Eagles TE (+10,000): Similar logic to Brown, but he’s offering more than three times the value, and he leads the team in yards, receptions, and targets in the playoffs.
• Zack Baun, Eagles LB (+15,000): This one’s a reaaal long shot. Only three off-ball linebackers have ever won MVP, but with Baun’s ability to create turnovers, he could come out of nowhere to steal it.