Liverpool vs. Arsenal EPL Odds
Even though Arsenal have already beaten Liverpool this season and lead their opponents by 29 points in the league table, the betting odds for this one are very nearly even, which means that there’s a lot of value on the team that’s currently in better form, Arsenal. All odds provided by Betway.
Team
|
Moneyline Odds
|
Total Goals (O/U)
|
Liverpool
|
+160
|
O2.5 (-152)
|
Arsenal
|
+137
|
U2.5 (+115)
|
Draw
|
+260
|
|
Liverpool Odds
This is certainly not the way in which Liverpool wanted to come into this matchup with the Premier League’s leaders. Arsenal have won seven straight league games while Liverpool has won three, lost two, and drawn two in the same amount of matches.
The match will be Liverpool’s third in nine days, so they will certainly be the team that's worse for wear. Not only have they played a lot in the last week or so, but Liverpool have not played well in those matches either. They went up 1-0 against Manchester City last weekend before falling apart and losing 4-1.
They followed that up three days later with a punchless performance against a Chelsea team that’s had an even worse season than them—not to mention Chelsea were playing under a caretaker manager to boot.
The tight odds are probably due to Liverpool’s success against Arsenal in recent years, but this season has seen a very different Arsenal and a very different Liverpool than what we’ve become used to in the last few years. Considering that, there’s a ton of value on Arsenal’s moneyline here.
It’s strange to say about a Jurgen Klopp-managed side, but Liverpool has looked like they lack a bit of belief in recent weeks. Apart from the 7-0 win over Manchester United, which is looking more like a fluke with every passing match, it was a rough March for Liverpool, as they lost to Bournemouth, who are in a relegation battle, and drew to Crystal Palace, who are in the same relegation battle.
However, Arsenal are likely to be without one of their top center backs in William Saliba, which should make the likes of Darwin Nunez and Mo Salah perk up. Rob Holding is serviceable, but those two speedsters for Liverpool should have a much easier time with the Englishman than they would with the Frenchman.
Arsenal Odds
If Arsenal can cover Rob Holding’s deficiencies and stay locked in when Liverpool gets a set piece, which has been one of Arsenal’s few weaknesses this season, the league leaders should be able to maintain or build on their lead at the top of the table.
Last time these teams played, Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta made the shrewd decision to play Takehiro Tomiyasu on Mo Salah, which worked beautifully. However, Tomiyasu is not available for selection due to injury, so it will be interesting which way Arteta goes to try and take Liverpool’s best player out of the equation again.
Another guy to watch is Diogo Jota, who has been a real Arsenal killer in the last few years. The Portuguese forward has contributed five goals and one assist in his last five games against Arsenal. Arteta’s men will need to make it a point of frustrating Jota and playing rough with the diminutive attacker.
Where Arsenal has the advantage is further up the field, where Thomas Partey and Martin Odegaard should be able to boss the midfield against Liverpool’s aging counterparts. Arsenal’s attacking three, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli, and Bukayo Saka have all been in excellent form as well.
That trio along with January addition Leandro Trossard should be able to find the back of the net more than once, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Liverpool scored as well considering Arsenal’s current defensive depth, so the total goals over is offering a bit of value despite the low -152 odds.