Copa America 2024: Uruguay vs. Brazil – Odds, Prediction & Best Bets

The final match of the 2024 Copa America quarter-finals will be contested between two of the top sides in the tournament, with Group C winner Uruguay taking on Group D runner-up Brazil. The match will take place on Saturday, July 6 at Allegiant Stadium, home of the NFL’s Dallas Cowboys, in Arlington, Texas at 9:00PM E.T.

Uruguay were flawless during the group stage, winning all three of their matches and putting up a +8 goal difference, best in the tourney. Meanwhile, Brazil has been one of the bigger disappointments of the tournament, as they were held in check in a pair of draws during group play.

Odds provided by Sports Interaction

Uruguay

There is no team that looked better than Uruguay during the group stage, and they were in a pretty tough group as well. They’ve won three, scored nine, conceded one, and picked up just a single yellow card as a team so far.

Team news: If Uruguay advances and Darwin Nunez picks up another yellow, they will miss the semi-final.

Predicted Lineup: Keeper: Sergio Rochet; Defenders: Matias Vina, Mathias Olivera, Ronald Araujo, Nahitan Nandez; Midfielders: Federico Valverde, Manuel Ugarte, Maximiliano Araujo, Facundo Pellistri; Forwards: Nicolas de la Cruz, Darwin Nunez

Brazil

Another tournament, another Brazilian disappointment. Despite coming in as the Group D favorites, a pair of uninspired draws saw them finish second in their group, resulting in the worst possible draw for them in these quarter-finals. The absence of their best player, Vini Jr., will be costly here.

Team news: Vinicius Junior will miss the contest after accumulating two yellow cards during the group stage. If Brazil advances and Bruno Guimaraes, Joao Gomes, Lucas Paqueta, Wendell, or Eder Militao pick up another yellow, they will miss the semi-final.

Predicted Lineup: Keeper: Orlando Mosquera; Defenders: Eric Davis, Carlos Harvey, Jose Cordoba, Edgardo Farina, Michael Murillo; Midfielders: Yoel Barcenas, Jovani Welch, Cristian Martinez, Cesar Blackman; Forwards: Jose Fajardo

• H2H: Brazil has won or drawn 11 of the last 12 meetings.
• Uruguay trend – Uruguay has won nine of their last 10 contests vs. CONMEBOL nations.
• Brazil trend – Brazil has gone 1-2-3 in their last six against fellow South American teams.
• Darwin Nunez Player trend – Darwin Nunez has scored 10 goals in his last eight caps.

Even if Brazil’s best player, Vinicius Junior, was going to be able to suit up for this match, Brazil would be in tough. So, considering Vini has been suspended for this contest for yellow card accumulation, it’s somewhat shocking to see A Selecao still favored, if only slightly, for this match by many sports betting sites, such as Sports Interaction.

Uruguay hasn’t put a foot wrong yet, showing discipline at the back, strength in the midfield, and creativity up front. In the group stage, they scored more goals than any side, resulting in a tourney-high +8 goal difference, which is significantly higher than the next-best mark.

Brazil has not been playing inspired football, and without Vini, they lose their best chance at scoring a goal, which has already been a struggle for them at this tournament. Brazil feels like a bunch of elite players cobbled together, while Uruguay has been playing as a well-connected unit. This one’s easy, especially with Uruguay’s juiced odds, so take the slight underdog to qualify at -108 odds.

Darwin Nunez Anytime Scorer (+200) | Sports Interaction

Darwin Nunez has been on an absolute tear recently. While he didn’t score in the final match of the group stages, that one was essentially meaningless, as Uruguay had already wrapped up the top spot in the group by then.

Even including that contest, Nunez has scored 10 goals in his last eight caps. Nunez has also scored six goals in his last six against CONMEBOL competition, and eight in 16 total caps against fellow South American sides. It’s also worth mentioning that Brazil has allowed at least one goal in six straight vs. other CONMEBOL sides, which means there are goals to be had here, making these +200 soccer betting odds for Nunez to score anytime very enticing.