Copa America 2024: Canada vs. Venezuela – Odds, Prediction & Best Bets

The second quarter-final fixture of this 2024 Copa America tournament will be contested between surprise Group B winner, Venezuela, and surprise Group A runner-up, Canada. The match will take place on Friday, July 5 at AT&T Stadium, home of the NFL’s Dallas Cowboys, in Arlington, Texas at 9:00PM E.T.

Venezuela have been the surprise of the tournament, not just winning all three matches but doing it in a variety of ways. Canada, meanwhile, just barely squeaked in after a 0-0 draw sealed their second place spot in Group A on Matchday 3.

Odds provided by Sports Interaction

Venezuela

Venezuela is starting to build up a sneaky good football program over the last few years. After advancing to the Copa knockout stage just once in their first 13 appearances, they’ve done so in five of their last seven. Their three wins in the group stage here in 2024, however, represent their best-ever start.

Team news: If Venezuela advances and Nahuel Ferraresi, Miguel Navarro, or Cristian Casseres Jr. pick up another yellow, they will miss the semi-final. Darwin Machis will miss the quarter-final match after picking up two yellows during the group stage.

Predicted Lineup: Keeper: Rafael Romo; Defenders: Jon Aramburu, Wilker Angel, Yordan Osorio, Alexander Gonzalez; Midfielders: Yangel Herrera, Jose Martinez, Eduard Bello, Yeferson Soteldo; Forwards: Telasco Segovia, Salomon Rondon

Canada

Canada had never been to a Copa America before this summer, and now, in their debut tournament, they’ve advanced to the knockouts through some really scrappy performances. There is some worry, however, that they were aided by red cards in both group games where they picked up points.

Team news: If Canada advances and Alistair Johnston, Moise Bombito, Alphonso Davies, Richie Laryea, Derek Cornelius, or Ismale Kone pick up another yellow, they will miss the semi-final.

Predicted Lineup: Keeper: Maxime Crepeau; Defenders: Alistair Johnston, Moise Bombito, Derek Cornelius, Alphonso Davies; Midfielders: Jonathan Osorio, Stephen Eustaquio, Richie Laryea, Jacob Shaffelburg; Forwards: Jonathan David, Cyle Larin

• H2H: The only 2 meetings were both draws in international friendlies.
• Canada trend – Both teams have not scored in six straight matches for Canada.
• Venezuela trend – Venezuela has won 5 and drawn 2 against CONCACAF since June 2019.
• Salomon Rondon Player trend – Venezuela’s captain has scored or assisted in every match in this Copa.

Venezuela may be trophy-poor in comparison to the other giants of the continent, but they’ve got a lot more Copa America experience than Canada, who have a very young roster and are in their Copa debut. Canada was able to squeak out of the group stages, but just barely, and with more than a little help. They played 63 minutes of scoreless football against 10-man Chile, and played over a half hour against 10-man Peru the match before that.

Meanwhile, Venezuela got help of their own with an Ecuadorian red card in their first match, but they responded by scoring two goals to earn a comeback win. Against Mexico, they sat back, allowed the Mexicans the possession, waited for their moment, and pounced on a second-half winner. In their match against Jamaica, they simply dominated throughout. 

Venezuela has found a way to beat three teams in very different circumstances, two of which many would consider higher quality sides than Canada. They’re also led by a grizzled veteran in Salomon Rondon who has been on fire in this tournament. Whether it’s the moneyline at +170 soccer betting odds or to qualify at -118 odds, Venezuela seems like the smart bet here.

Both Teams To Score - NO (-133) | Sports Interaction

Canada has really struggled to score in this tournament, putting their only massive chance in the back of the net against a 10-man Peru. Venezuela isn’t defensively dominant, but they’ve kept two clean sheets just like the Canadians. Another reason we like this prop, apart from the solid odds we’re getting from Sports Interaction and other sports betting sites, is the fact that 14 of the 20 matches at this Copa have not seen both teams score.

To boot, Canada is on a streak of six straight matches where only one side finds the back of the net, and the same goes for Venezuela in six of their last nine outings. All the red cards in the group stage makes the result a tough call, and 70 percent of games not seeing both teams score makes this an easy prop to back.