Copa America 2024: Argentina vs. Colombia – Odds, Prediction & Best Bets

The final showing of the 2024 Copa America is going down on Sunday evening as the tournament wraps up after 30 action-packed matches. Defending champions Argentina will take on Colombia for the right to lift the trophy and cover themselves in glory. The fixture will kick off at 8:00PM E.T. on Sunday, July 14 at Hard Rock Stadium, home of the NFL’s Miami Dolphins.

Argentina has been powering up throughout the tournament, putting forth their best performance so far in the semifinal against Canada. Colombia, meanwhile, will attempt to keep their potent attack churning against an Argentinian defense that has given up only a single goal so far at this tournament.

Odds provided by Sports Interaction

Team A

Argentina are the defending champions of both the World Cup and the Copa America, and they were playing like they intended to keep it that way against Canada. After slipping by with subpar performances (by their lofty standards) early in the tournament, they put together their best performance of the tournament in the semifinal.

Team news: No one will be suspended for the Final.

Predicted Lineup: Keeper: Emiliano Martinez; Defenders: Gonzalo Montiel, Cristian Romero, Lisandro Martinez, Nicolas Tagliafico; Midfielders: Angel Di Maria, Rodrigo de Paul, Enzo Fernandez, Alexis Mac Allister; Forwards: Lionel Messi, Julian Alvarez

Colombia

If you’ve been following Colombia throughout this tournament, you’ve probably had more fun than anyone. The attack of Los Cafeteros has been the most potent in the tournament, scoring 12 goals in five matches so far. The only question now is: can they stop the Argentinians?

Team news: Daniel Munoz and Guillermo Varela will miss the Final after picking up a red card in the semifinal against Uruguay.

Predicted Lineup: Keeper: Camilo Vargas; Defenders: Santiago Arias, Johan Mojica, Carlos Cuesta, Davinson Sanchez; Midfielders: Jhon Arias, Jefferson Lerma, Richard Rios; Forwards: Luis Diaz, Jhon Cordoba, James Rodriguez

• H2H: Colombia has won just 1 of the last 12 fixtures between these sides
• Argentina trend – Argentina have allowed just one goal throughout the 2024 Copa America.
• Colombia trend – 7 of Colombia’s last 8 matches have seen 2+ goals.
• Lautaro Martinez Player trend – The Inter Milan striker has scored in each of his last 2 matches vs. Colombia.

In the end, we’re getting one of the more likely matchups in the Final of this edition of the Copa America. Argentina have arguably been the best team at this tournament, even if they haven’t played up to their usual levels apart from their 2-0 masterclass against Canada in the semifinal.

Colombia poses a frisky threat to Argentina’s world domination, as they’ve scored 12 goals at this Copa, the highest total at the tournament. We expect Colombia to get on the score sheet here, so BTTS - YES at +120 odds at most sports betting sites is a great value.

However, history tells us that Colombia is unlikely to get over the line here. They’ve won just one Copa Final in 23 appearances at the tournament. Their history against Argentina doesn’t lend much confidence in them in this fixture, as they’ve won just nine of 43 all-time matchups. 

They’ve been especially bad in recent years, as they have won just once in 12 tries since 2009. Colombia has had an impressive run, and we expect a fun outing, but Argentina are just too deep, too experienced, and too talented not to take them at -189 to lift the trophy. Even Argentina to win in regular time at +110 looks pretty decent.

Lionel Messi to Score or Assist (-138) | Sports Interaction

Listen, we know this is becoming a bit of a dog whistle, but considering we’re really not sure about who will start next to Lionel Messi in Argentina’s striker partnership between Lautaro Martinez and Julian Alvarez, Messi is a much safer pick. Martinez has started two matches, while Alvarez has started thrice.

If Martinez starts, he’s the choice here, as he’s scored in four of his last six appearances and in each of his last two contests with Colombia and is offering +220 odds to score. However, Messi is the smart pick if he doesn’t, as he’s scored or assisted in two of four matches at this Copa. 

The GOAT has also piled up five goal involvements in seven career matches against Colombia. The talisman is going to show out to keep his squad on top, and -138 soccer betting odds for a goal involvement are as reasonable as it’s going to get for Messi.