CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifying: Argentina vs Brazil Odds, Betting Preview, & Picks

One of the best rivalries in international football will be in full force on Tuesday, March 25 as Argentina welcomes bitter rivals Brazil to the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires for a matchday 14 CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifying clash. The kick-off is scheduled for 8 PM ET. Despite being without numerous key players including Lionel Messi, the Argentines managed to beat Uruguay on Friday. As for Selecao, they took down Colombia in a cagey affair. Below, we’ll lay out the odds, preview the game, and provide the Argentina vs Brazil picks.

Odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Argentina vs Brazil Odds

Argentina comes in at +125 odds on the moneyline for Tuesday’s encounter, while Brazil sits at +230. A draw is priced at +210. Under 2.5 goals has cashed in five straight meetings, hence the steep -213 odds.

La Albiceleste has won three of the last four meetings with Brazil. In fact, Selecao haven’t beaten their foes since the summer of 2019.

Argentina vs Brazil Analysis

Lionel Scaloni’s side was dealt several blows heading into this international window, with Messi ruled out due to an injury, while Giovani Lo Celso, Paulo Dybala, and Lautaro Martinez are also absent. Nevertheless, the World Cup holders managed to grind out three points against a tough Uruguay squad last week, despite getting a red card in injury time. Lyon standout Thiago Almada bagged a phenomenal winner in the 68th minute, extending Argentina’s lead at the top of the table to seven points.

La Albiceleste has gone 9-1-3 in qualifying, securing 28 points. They’ve netted 22 times and conceded just seven. While the Argentines weren’t exactly electric in the final third against Uruguay, it was promising to see them still produce the goods without Messi and Martinez. The attacking duo are the heartbeat of this starting XI.

The Brazilians have been inconsistent at times in qualifying but Thursday’s win over Colombia was a step in the right direction. This fixture had no shortage of drama, either. Raphinha continued his fantastic campaign with a goal from the penalty spot in the sixth minute before Luis Diaz equalized the Colombians prior to halftime. The second half was tightly contested and Real Madrid star Vinicius Junior came to the rescue, scoring a winner at the death of injury time.

Brazil controlled 52% of the ball and had 17 shots, with seven finding the target. They had their fair share of opportunities and managed to jump into third place in qualifying since Uruguay tasted defeat. While playing is Buenos Aires is always a hostile environment for any opponent, especially Brazil, this feels like a chance for them to finally snatch a victory against Argentina given the key figures sidelined for the hosts. Selecao is a slim underdog at soccer betting sites.

Argentina vs Brazil Team News

As previously mentioned, Messi, Dybala, and Lo Celso are unavailable for Argentina. Nico Gonzalez is also suspended after being handed a straight red in the win over Uruguay. Brazil meanwhile is without both of their first choice keepers. Ederson is hurt and Allison Becker suffered an injury against Colombia. Bento will start in his place. Neymar is injured, while Gabriel Magalhaes and Bruno Guimaraes are suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Argentina vs Brazil Picks

While it’s always a highly entertaining fixture when these two giants go to battle, it is hard for me to bet against Argentina, especially on home soil where the raucous crowd is a huge help for them. I do think the hosts will find another victory here against Brazil. The moneyline offers immense value here.

Pick: Argentina +125