Brandon Figueroa vs. Mark Magsayo Odds
For a fight between two former champions with a single blemish on their professional boxing records, the betting odds aren’t quite as tight as one might expect. Betting sites are nearly universally touting Figueroa as a shoo-in to claim the featherweight belt from the WBC, one of the big four boxing sanctioning bodies. The odds in the table below are provided by Sports Interaction.
Fighter
|
Moneyline Odds
|
Win By Decision
|
Win By KO/TKO
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Brandon Figueroa (23-1-1)
|
-242
|
+162
|
+130
|
Mark Magsayo (24-1)
|
+176
|
+600
|
+550
|
Brandon Figueroa Odds
Figueroa has been pretty dominant since he first laced up the gloves back in 2015, winning the WBA super bantamweight title in 2019 and defending it four times while also snagging the WBC title at 122 pounds along the way. Unfortunately, he lost both of those belts during a unifying bout against WBO super bantamweight champ Stephen Fulton in November of 2021, which Figueroa lost by majority decision.
The 26-year-old bounced back nicely, however, moving up to featherweight to fight one of the top contenders in the division in Carlos Castro. Figueroa knocked Castro down in the third with a big left and then finished him for good with a vicious flurry in the sixth round. Figueroa is generally an enormous betting favorite when he enters the ring, and the Castro fight was no exception, as he was a -650 favorite.
At 5’8” with a lanky 72.5 inch reach, Figueroa comes into this bout with a two-inch height advantage and a four and a half inch reach advantage over Magsayo. Rey Vargas had those same advantages and employed them effectively to upset Magsayo in the latter’s most recent fight, taking the WBC featherweight title from him in the process.
Figueroa may fight in one of the lower weight classes in boxing, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t have cinder blocks for fists. He has one of the highest knockout ratios in the division at 72 percent and has shown a strong chin in tough battles against quality fighters in Fulton and Oscar Escandon, who he beat via 10th round KO back in 2018.
Mark Magsayo Odds
Magsayo may have a height and length disadvantage here, but he does bring a weight advantage in, as the FIlipino pugilist weighs in at 126 pounds, four pounds heavier than Figueroa who generally weighs in around 122. His shorter, more stocky build gives him a lower center of gravity, which he will try to use to his advantage here.
Magsayo also has heavy hands as evidenced by the 16 knockouts on his 24-1 record. The 27-year-old hasn’t shown himself to have a chin as tough as his fists, however, as he has been knocked down a couple of times in his career despite the single loss on his record. Magsayo used to have legendary trainer Freddie Roach in his corner, but the two parted ways last year.
The number two ranked featherweight boxer in the world by The Ring magazine, Magsayo represents one of the toughest tests Figueroa has seen based on his career so far just looking at the betting odds for this one, not to mention the Filipino’s sparkling record.
Method Of Victory Odds
If you want to dive deeper with your boxing bets, method of victory is a great market to look at. Considering the weight class Figueroa and Magsayo fight in is not conducive to knockouts, it’s interesting to note that both boxers are seen as more likely to win via finish rather than decision.
Figueroa’s last 10 wins have come via stoppage and same goes for five of Magsayo’s last nine wins. While it may be scary for bettors to back Figueroa considering he’s only recently made the jump up to featherweight from super bantamweight, his impressive performance against Castro in his featherweight debut last year should put those worries to bed.
There’s not much value on Figueroa at -242 moneyline odds, so a bet on his +130 odds to win by finishing Magsayo are a lot more attractive here. Magsayo is a pretty big underdog, so any bets on him will offer up a ton of risk—but a ton of reward as well.