Here, you’ll find the most relevant NFL betting trends you can use to make intelligent bets all season long. These NFL betting trends are meant to be used as a guide only. They’re tools you can use to maximize the value you can get on your bets and to place bets with the best probability of hitting. The betting trends you’ll find here are for NFL teams, and they’re updated and can be used every week to bet on the NFL at the top Canadian sports betting sites, where you can also take advantage of the best betting promotions.
What are NFL betting trends?
NFL betting trends refer to data based on historical outcomes. Betting trends are patterns that can be used for intelligent weekly bets. Unlike other sports, there are very few games in an NFL season; each time plays just once per week. Although they’re meant to be used as a betting guide, trends usually indicate how the public is betting on NFL games.For example, if Team A has historically lost to Team B when playing them on the road, the betting public will favor Team B to repeat with a similar outcome.
Naturally, that doesn’t always occur, but again, betting trends aren’t absolute predictors of outcomes. The best betting apps will indicate how the public is betting on sports events. For example, a top betting site might show that 68% of the public is betting on Team B to win the money line, while only 32% of the betting public is betting on Team A.
Many factors can influence an NFL game and become a helpful betting trend with a large enough sample size. Every NFL team currently has several betting trends that apply when facing a specific opponent or playing under certain conditions.
NFL betting trends can help bettors get more value out of their bets. The current state of a team will influence sportsbooks and oddsmakers more than anything else, so it’s a good idea to look for value bets that reflect useful betting trends. For a look at the best sports betting sites, check out the sportsbook reviews.
Types of NFL betting trends
There are several types of NFL betting trends you can look at to help you make high-probability bets. The three main types of betting trends will reflect a team’s outcome with regards to the money line, point spread, and over-under.
The Moneyline is the simplest type of bet and essentially indicates a team’s win-loss record. For example, if the Atlanta Falcons have a 5-2 record after Week 7, that is also their money line record for the season. When looking at a matchup, every team will have a money line or straight-up record. Using the same team example, if the Falcons are scheduled to play the Dallas Cowboys in Week 8, a helpful money line betting trend will indicate their money line record in their last five or ten meetings. In this example, the betting trend may show: “the Falcons are 2-8” straight up in their previous ten meetings against the Cowboys. If a bettor were to use this betting trend as a guide, there is a low probability that the Falcons will win their Week 8 matchup against the Cowboys.
The point spread refers to the number of points oddsmakers have predicted a team will win by. For example, if the Green Bay Packers are favoured by -7.5 against the Detroit Lions, it means that if a bettor picks the Packers to cover the spread, they must win by at least 8 points for the bet to pay out. If a bettor chooses the Lions to cover the spread, they can lose by up to 7 points and still pay off.
Every team has point spread trends indicating how often they cover the spread against certain opponents or under certain conditions. For example, in the example above, the Packers may have covered the point spread in nine of their last ten games against the Lions, in which case there is a good chance they will cover the spread once again in their upcoming matchup.
The over/under refers to the number of points oddsmakers think both teams will collectively score in a game. For example, if oddsmakers have set an over/under of 48.5 points for a matchup between the Cleveland Browns and the Cincinnati Bengals, bettors can choose whether that total will end up going under or over. There may be a trend indicating that the under has hit in the last ten matchups between these two teams. Also, the under has hit in seven of their last ten games, regardless of opponent.
For every betting trend, it’s essential to look at how teams perform at home, on the road, and under certain weather conditions.
NFL betting trends vs. interesting sports facts
Betting trends can be excellent tools for bettors, but there is a distinct difference between NFL betting trends and interesting sports facts.
NFL betting trends are based on data and historical outcomes. A team’s past performances can be a solid indicator of how a team will perform in an upcoming matchup.
NFL betting trends are based on aspects of a team that affects their outcomes. For example, a team that constantly hits the under in their matchups means that they’re sub-par offensively.
Interesting sports facts are trivial bits of information that can be chalked up to mere coincidence. There is no empirical data to suggest that any interesting sports facts can predict the probability of any future outcome.
Sports betting trends look like this:
- The Patriots have covered the spread in eight of their last games against the Dolphins
- The over has hit in the last six of ten games the Vikings have played at home
- The Steelers are 5-5 straight up against the Ravens in their last ten games on the road
Interesting sports facts look like this:
- The Texans have lost every Week 5 game in their last eight seasons.
- The Packers have always won when they’ve played on Aaron Rodgers’ birthday.
Betting trends will help bettors place high-probability bets on NFL betting sites, while there really isn’t an outcome that an interesting sports fact can help predict. It’s best to avoid them when placing bets.