We’re into Week 7 of this NFL season, and things are starting to get interesting. The last two undefeated teams were vanquished in Week 6, so every team has shown that they’ve got weaknesses.
We’re keeping those results in the back of our mind as we look at the best bets on the Week 7 Sunday slate. We’ll be combing through all the player props offering the most value including betting markets such as anytime touchdown, receiving yards, and more from all the best NFL betting sites.
All odds provided by Sports Interaction.
Mark Andrews started the season off somewhat slowly, compiling just 70 yards through his first two games. However, he’s always been Lamar Jackson’s favorite target, and that relationship has shone through in recent weeks as both players acclimate themselves to the new offense being implemented by first-year Baltimore offensive coordinator Todd Monken.
Andrews has gone for 80, 65, and 69 yards over the last three weeks, and he’s coming into a plus matchup if there ever was one in Week 7 against the Detroit Lions. Dan Campbell’s team has been impressive through a 5-1 start, but they’ve struggled a bit defending the pass, specifically, the opposition’s tight ends.
Through six games, they’ve given up 39 receptions (third most in the NFL) and 376 yards (fourth most) to tight ends. Considering we’ve got one of the best tight ends in football going against one of the worst defenses in the league when it comes to defending tight ends, the over on Andrews’ 53.5 yards prop at -115 odds seems like a safe bet.
The odds are not available for these selections as of this writing due to the fact that it remains to be seen which of these two quarterbacks will start for the Giants against the Washington Commanders. However, we feel safe with whatever the bookies come up with because whether it’s Jones or Taylor, you’re dealing with a running quarterback against the Commanders, and this year, that’s been a winning combination.
In his one start, Taylor ran five times for 24 yards, and in his five starts, Jones ran 7.6 times for 39.4 yards per game. They’re both athletic and speedy, which has been a combination Washington has struggled with. They’ve given up the second-most rushing yards to QBs this year, allowing 206 yards through six games, or 34.3 yards per game.
So far this season, we’ve hit on two of our three QB rushing props, and looking at the Commanders’ game log makes us even more confident about an over here. So far this year, they’ve allowed 56 to Russell Wilson, 46 to Josh Allen, another 34 to Jalen Hurts, and 57 to Justin Fields. Last week, we took Ridder at 9.5 yards, and he scampered for 18 against the Commanders.
Aaron Jones has been missing for much of this season for the Packers, but after a bye week it seems as though he should be back in the mix for their matchup with the hapless Denver Broncos on Sunday. Jones has only played one full game this year, and in that game, he caught four passes for 84 yards.
For this contest with the Broncos, Jones’ receiving prop is sitting at only 19.5 because without him in the lineup, there’s been no back to throw to, so the Packers have targeted backs as rarely as anyone. Did we mention the Broncos have given up the second-most RB receptions (40) and second-most RB receiving yards (321)? The over on Jones’ 19.5 total at -115 odds is offering tons of value if he plays at full strength.
The Dolphins have been unstoppable for all but one game so far in 2023, and we believe they will continue to strut their offensive stuff in Week 7 against the reeling Eagles. Philly started off hot, but after an overtime scare two weeks ago, they lost to the Jets last week, so there is cause for concern.
They haven’t been great against the pass, allowing the seventh-most yards to receivers (1,043) and the second-most touchdowns to receivers (8). And who do they have the pleasure of lining up against in Week 7? The hottest receiver in football, Tyreek Hill.
Apart from a Week 4 loss to the Buffalo Bills in which the whole Miami offense looked discombobulated, Hill has been unbelievable. He’s scored a touchdown in every game apart from that loss to Buffalo, and he’s gone for 150+ yards in four of his six games this season. If there’s been anyone you can hang your hat on this year, it’s Hill, so take either the over on his 95.5 receiving yards prop or his anytime TD prop, both of which sit at -115 odds.
Alex is a recent graduate of Ryerson's Sport Media program in 2019 and has been contributing to BettingTop10 since 2020. He has worked in the field of sports and sports betting for several years, including writing for theScore and daily fantasy sports website FantasyPros as one of their lead NBA news writers. A dedicated sports fan and experienced sports bettor, Alex has the knowledge to provide you with the best betting advice and the sneakiest props no matter what the sport may be.
