2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year - NFL Betting Odds and Best Bets

This year there are more than a few stars who barely played in 2023 and are set to put the NFL back on notice in 2024. Following our previews of the race for NFL MVP, Coach of the Year, and everything in between, now we take a look at the NFL betting odds for the 2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year.

2024 NFL Comeback Player of the Year NFL Betting Odds

All odds provided by Betway.

The Top QBs: Aaron Rodgers (+120), Joe Burrow (+250), Kirk Cousins (+550)

The top three guys with the shortest odds for this award should come as no surprise: all three suffered the early season-ending injuries last season. Rodgers went down four snaps in, Cousins went down in Week 8, and Burrow went down in Week 10.

Aaron Rodgers is a four-time MVP who won most recently in 2020 and 2021—he’s clearly still got some juice even at 40 years old. He’s coming back into a great situation, with an improved weapons cache, a solid offensive line, and an elite defense. If the Jets win the AFC East, Rodgers will be tough to deny here, but at +120, there’s a lot better value out there.

Burrow has won this award before, in 2021, and there’s only ever been one two-time CPOY winner: Chad Pennington, in 2006 and 2008. That’s not to say that it’s impossible for Burrow to win again, but he’s in a tough division and the trends are against him, so +250 is not enough value to take the chance.

Kirk Cousins is probably the best bet of the trio based on the odds we’re seeing from sports betting sites. He’s got the best supporting cast, he went down earlier than Burrow and to a more serious injury (Achilles), and he’s in one of the worst divisions in football, which should help make his numbers look a lot better than they might otherwise be. At +550, he’s the best value among the favorites.

Second Tier Signal Callers: Sam Darnold (+3,000), Kyler Murray (+3,500)

A little further down, we get a couple of QBs with massive odds to go with their massive potential. First off, Sam Darnold could be in for a Pro Bowl year if he can hold onto the starting QB job in Minnesota. If that happens, it’s going to be near impossible to deny him the award considering the trials and tribulations he’s been through over the last few years.

He’s got a genius play-caller feeding him intel in Kevin O’Connell, he’s got the best wide receiver in the game in Justin Jefferson, one of the best young deep threats in football in Jordan Addison, and a top three tight end in T.J. Hockenson (when he returns from rehab).

Unlike Darnold, there’s no chance Kyler Murray loses his job, and he played less football last year than all of these other injured QBs except Rodgers. However, he has the advantage of having played the last few weeks of the 2023 season, as his injury occurred late in 2022.

That means Murray will be in better shape and more ready to hit the ground running. Murray looked awesome in his limited time last year, and with Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride flanking him, he’s got every chance of stealing this thing at +3,500 if the Cardinals can swipe a Wild Card spot.

Long Shot RBs: Nick Chubb (+1,000), J.K. Dobbins (+5,000)

Only one RB has won this award (Garrison Hearst, 2001) since it was reintroduced in 1998. Despite that negative trend, QBs have won this award for six straight years, so we could definitely be due for a mix up.

Nick Chubb at +1,000 is a great shout. The Browns should be a force to be reckoned with in 2024, and Chubb will be the engine. If he can lead the league in rushing, he should be able to cash in on these odds.

A much riskier but potentially much more rewarding bet would be on J.K. Dobbins at massive +5,000 odds. Dobbins has been beset by injuries the last few years, but he’s been vocal about his belief that all of that stuff is behind him now that he’s in L.A. with the Chargers.

When he’s been healthy, he’s looked like a proper feature back, and that’s exactly what he could become in what is going to be a very run-heavy offense for the Chargers.

New OC Greg Roman nearly always leads the league in rushing no matter where he goes, and Dobbins has a lot more to offer than nominal starter Gus Edwards, who he already beat out for a lead back role n Baltimore when they were both there in 2022… under Roman. Dobbins at +5,000 might be one of the best sneaky sleeper future bets in the whole NFL catalog.