2024 NFL Coach of the Year - Early NFL Betting Odds and Best Bets

2024 NFL Coach of the Year NFL Betting Odds

All odds provided by Sports Interaction.

Coach (Team)	Odds	Team 2023 Finish
Matt Eberflus (CHI)	+900	7-10
Jim Harbaugh (LAC)	+1,000	5-12
Raheem Morris (ATL)	+1,000	7-10
Matt LaFleur (GB)	+1,400	9-8
Shane Steichen (IND)	+1,400	9-8
DeMeco Ryans (HOU)	+1,400	10-7
Jonathan Gannon (ARI)	+1,600	4-13
Robert Saleh (NYJ)	+1,800	7-10
Brian Callahan (TEN)	+1,800	6-11
Mike Macdonald (SEA)	+2,000	9-8
Dave Canales (CAR)	+2,000	2-15
Mike McDaniel (MIA)	+2,000	11-6
Dan Quinn (WAS)	+2,000	4-13

Matt Eberflus (+900) - Chicago Bears: 7-10 in 2023

The expectation here, based on his odds, which ae are the shortest of the pack, is that the Bears win the scary NFC North. It’s not like they were awful last year, they were still 7-10, so to us, a division title seems necessary if Eberflus is going to take this against what looks like a very strong field.

Caleb Williams certainly looks like a special prospect, but we don’t think he’ll do enough to win 11 or 12 games in his first year. And that’s what it would take. There have been a few COTY winners who did so behind rookie QBs, but they were also coming off of 2- or 3- or 4-win seasons, not a respectable 7-10. There’s not enough room to grow in the rough NFC North here, so even at +900, we’d stay away.

Jim Harbaugh (+1,000) - Los Angeles Chargers: 5-12 in 2023

If there was ever someone who was gift-wrapped a shot at Coach of the Year, it’s Jim Harbaugh with these Chargers. To start, the Chargers were awful last year, injuries aside, and won just five games. It seems to us that 5-12 is a bad enough record to where if the Chargers win 10 or 11 games and still lose the division to the Chiefs, Harbaugh’s still got a great chance at taking this home.

Heck, he did it in his debut season with the 49ers nearly a decade and a half ago, why not in his debut down the California coast for the Chargers? They’ve got tons of talent and potential in their roster that’s been waiting to be extracted, and with Harbaugh coming in with an almost entirely new staff, we’re betting on something clicking.

Eight COTYs since 2006 have won their award in their debut season with a team, and a few more did so in their second, so the voters don’t care how long you’ve been on the job. In fact, the fewer years at the helm, the better. There are a lot of great options this year, but for price and potential, it doesn’t get better than Jim Harbaugh here at +1,000.

Raheem Morris (+1,000) - Atlanta Falcons: 7-10 in 2023

A lot of people are very excited about the Falcons this year, but we’re not so sure. They may win a weak NFC South, but that’s not going to be enough for Raheem Morris to win COTY in his head coaching debut. Like the Bears, these Falcons were 7-10; that’s not awful enough to view a 10 or even 11-win season as a major turnaround.

At this point, the expectations are getting pretty high for the Falcons; they’ve got Kirk Cousins, and that means sky’s the limit for this talented group, right?

Wrong. They may have a lot of talent, but they’re young, they don’t know how to win yet, and Cousins, while talented, isn’t known as a winner. Morris is a great coach, but the ingredients aren’t there for this bet. We think the Bucs might actually win the NFC South anyway.

Best of the Rest:

DeMeco Ryans, Houston Texans (+1,400): If Ryans turns this team bursting with potential into a No. 1 seed, he’ll have as good a case as anyone after being snubbed by one measly vote in 2023.
Jonathan Gannon, Arizona Cardinals (+1,600): A healthy Kyler Murray and MHJ turn into the best QB-WR duo in the league and the Cardinals grab double-digit wins and a Wild Card, who says no?
Robert Saleh, New York Jets (+1,800): Aaron Rodgers re-emerges as an MVP candidate and the New York Jets win the AFC East. Stranger things have happened in New York, and in Rodgers’ head.
Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh Steelers (+2,500): When you bet a long shot, you need a best case scenario. Tomlin’s potential is sky high if Russell Wilson’s revival goes to plan and they can win the AFC North, arguably the best division in football, behind Tomlin’s bruising defense.